Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.010584 0.012746 0.015427 0.019065 0.023987 0.030591 0.040453
2025-03-09 0.007737 0.010117 0.013446 0.018665 0.027103 0.041202 0.069254
2025-03-16 0.006453 0.008910 0.012640 0.019131 0.031204 0.055604 0.120310
2025-03-23 0.005543 0.007955 0.011842 0.019170 0.034439 0.070958 0.200849
2025-03-30 0.004755 0.007007 0.010790 0.018344 0.035491 0.082519 0.302531
2025-04-06 0.004213 0.006354 0.010084 0.017931 0.037248 0.098077 0.489921
2025-04-13 0.003893 0.006015 0.009861 0.018423 0.041542 0.127784 1.020675
2025-04-20 0.003712 0.005885 0.009993 0.019737 0.049039 0.184783 3.381022
2025-04-27 0.003508 0.005679 0.009929 0.020568 0.055796 0.258061 17.947497
2025-05-04 0.003262 0.005361 0.009576 0.020559 0.059742 0.329867 256.162598
2025-05-11 0.003047 0.005077 0.009246 0.020519 0.063698 0.423865 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002844 0.004791 0.008867 0.020236 0.066560 0.529602 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002588 0.004399 0.008248 0.019262 0.066532 0.623793 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002394 0.004115 0.007844 0.018864 0.069510 0.827322 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002272 0.003963 0.007723 0.019338 0.078124 1.376614 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002142 0.003779 0.007494 0.019377 0.084557 2.204239 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001986 0.003524 0.007050 0.018539 0.084317 2.798699 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001865 0.003334 0.006745 0.018120 0.086989 4.132599 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001794 0.003246 0.006689 0.018619 0.098115 10.178648 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001760 0.003234 0.006829 0.019952 0.120301 82.914712 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001709 0.003179 0.006843 0.020796 0.140880 72902.012532 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001634 0.003063 0.006673 0.020787 0.152042 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.001565 0.002953 0.006506 0.020746 0.163561 NaN NaN